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昨天最新消息是美联储下届主席极有可能是斯坦福的经济教授JOHN TAYLOR,他认为现在的美联储利息应该是3.75%, 而不是现在的1.15%!
"On Tuesday Oct. 24, a source familiar with the matter said U.S. President Donald Trump had polled Republicans on whether they would prefer Stanford University economist John Taylor or current Fed Governor Jerome Powell to be the next U.S. central bank chief, and more senators preferred John Taylor. "
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/a ... s-fed-quicktake-q-a
Stanford economist John Taylor is known for his Taylor Rule, an economic gauge that dictates where the Fed's benchmark funds rate should be, given prevailing conditions. Generally speaking, interest rates would be higher at the moment if the Taylor rule were enforced. Much depends on what numbers are put into his formula. Under the original calculation, Taylor’s rule says the Fed’s benchmark rate should be about 3.75 percent, compared with the 1 percent to 1.25 percent the central bank is now targeting. Revising down some of the inputs, such as allowing for a lower jobless rate at which inflation materializes, brings the rule closer in line with current Fed policy. |
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