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美刊:跟中国作对,你没有任何机会

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发表于 2010-1-18 08:56:53 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式

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美国《新闻周刊》1月25日(提前出版)文章,原题:跟中国作对,没有任何机会 过去30年,西方对中国的预测十有八九都是错误的,这已是一个板上钉钉的事实。他们声称:中国经济增长率被夸大;一场大危机迫在眉睫;国 ... [ 查看全文 ]

§ 发表于 2010-1-18
西方对中国的预测没有错。中国存在着深层次不可调和的矛盾,就像火山口,可能明天爆发,也可能10年后爆发。
沙发
发表于 2010-1-18 10:04:57 | 只看该作者
这句话说得好:在中国人看来,国家不是一种异己的存在,而是社会的化身和守护者。原因深藏于中国历史。中国至少2000年前就已是一个文明国家。维护中国文明的完整被视为最重要的政治任务和国家的神圣使命,因而国家在中国具有与西方不可比拟的独一无二的角色。

西方国家应该懂得如何尊重他国的文化和历史。51里的五毛们,你们的主子都在学习如何尊重中国,你们也少叫唤吧。
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板凳
发表于 2010-1-18 10:05:32 | 只看该作者

美刊:跟中国作对,你没有任何机会

本帖最后由 cgigate 于 2010-1-18 10:07 编辑
西方对中国的预测没有错。中国存在着深层次不可调和的矛盾,就像火山口,可能明天爆发,也可能10年后爆发。
象牙塔底层 发表于 2010-1-18 08:56 http://bbs.51.ca/images/common/back.gif

我笑!预测了五十年,没有一次正确!
换一句话,你们扯谎五十年多年,中国不是更强大了!
你的主子都投降了!
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地板
发表于 2010-1-18 11:29:39 | 只看该作者

美刊:跟中国作对,你没有任何机会

本帖最后由 wang620101 于 2010-1-18 11:39 编辑

我希望中国更强大,
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5#
发表于 2010-1-18 11:31:03 | 只看该作者
别再吹嘘Google虚伪的信息自由了,从它把反华垃圾放到各关键字的头条就可看出。

互联网被Google控制只会更差!政府还必须对人民负责,像Google这样的公司只对股东负责。
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6#
发表于 2010-1-18 12:55:01 | 只看该作者
别再吹嘘Google虚伪的信息自由了,从它把反华垃圾放到各关键字的头条就可看出。

互联网被Google控制 ...
吴蜀人 发表于 2010-1-18 11:31 http://bbs.51.ca/images/common/back.gif



你可以买google的股票,让google为你服务。
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7#
发表于 2010-1-18 15:50:04 | 只看该作者
还是那句话,越是嘴上大声叫唤自由你就越是不能相信它,就拿google为例,我的gmail邮件全被google分析,刚刚上网买的小提琴订单发货邮件一到,gmail表头广告立马就换成了与小提琴相关的销售网站。同样,我拥有小提琴信息大概也到了CIA或FBI的数据库里。你可以自由上网,但你不能拥有隐私。不光是互联网,信用卡支付也是如此。这就是美国政府虚伪自由背后的真实面孔。
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8#
发表于 2010-1-18 23:27:51 | 只看该作者
美国人预测什么什么从来不准确,连苏联的崩溃都惊得目瞪口呆,还指望他预测中国什么什么?可怜那些所谓爱国鲨鼻拿了一篇美国人的狗屎文章还当宝贝。
另一方面,也只有美国有这种气度发这种文章,想一想在中国的报刊上登一篇《和美国作对,中国还没有机会》,恐怕真理部首先就枪毙你的发表权。
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9#
发表于 2010-1-18 23:29:38 | 只看该作者
回复 3# cgigate
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10#
发表于 2010-1-18 23:38:43 | 只看该作者
西方从来没有预测过中国五十年。五十年前是什么时代?是美苏抗衡,哥俩独大,中国在世界上还排不上号。四十年前,中苏关系破裂,毛和美国为了抗苏的共同利益打破意识形态界限走到一起。三十年前,邓访美,决心大开国门,为了和美国建交,争取美援,甚至同意美国继续维持对台军售。中国的强大,是在打开国门向西方世界开放之后。到了六四以后那种局面,邓还是要继续开放,才有中国不可逆转的十多年。
中国的发展整个一个世纪走了一个波浪型的历史轨迹,而且中国历来的进步和退步,都和西方世界息息相关。建议多读点书,少发大话空话。中共领导人现在也知道,中国没有当年慈禧老太后的魄力向全世界宣战。
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11#
发表于 2010-1-19 00:31:01 | 只看该作者

美刊:跟中国作对,你没有任何机会

本帖最后由 老迅 于 2010-1-19 12:34 编辑

看了以下的作者介绍及读者评论后,楼上的几位已雄起的 nationalists 可能又得偃旗息鼓了。作者英国人Martin Jacques可算得上是当代版的白求恩(加拿大的一个酒鬼,但到了中国被毛贼轻轻一吹,顿时鸡毛飞上天,当神供着)。作者曾在人民大学做过一段时间的访问学者,也写过几本卖力吹捧中国的书。当你压抑自卑或者便秘时,不妨读一读。
Martin Jacques was editor of the CPGB's journal, Marxism Today from 1977 until its closure in 1991。
Member Comments
Posted By: student1776 @ 01/18/2010 9:40:32 PM
A short-sighted thinker with a delusion of being profound. The battle between monarchy and republic has been going on in many forms for centuries. The actual history of China has been an oscillation between centralized power and dissolution into regions - much like the Middle Eastern Islamic world. It is not for the advocates of freedom of thought and information, of capitalism and competition to trim our sails to an elderly form of benevolent despotism but rather to focus on doing what we do well - free flow of information, free flow of unregulated capitalism, free enterprise, freedom of conscience, individual empowerment and responsibility - and win over the course of the decades by the dynamism unleashed by the power of free minds.


Reply Report Abuse Posted By: Nameless301 @ 01/18/2010 2:27:03 PM
We are not Ignorant Roland you stupid ***! People understand what is happening and many people dislike the ruling government. If you'd visited a large Chinese city and actually spoke Chinese you'd know this. People trash the government all the time and they know how corrupt it is. The audacity that you could think the Chinese people that didn't make it to america are just a bunch of ignorant rice picking hicks is ridiculous. The biggest problem doesn't come from knowing, its what are you gonna do about it? Are you willing to give up your life and the lives of your family for the hope that somewhere down the line things will be better for someone else? Because if you are then you should move to china. We need as many martyrs as we can get.


Reply Report Abuse Posted By: nluthra @ 01/18/2010 7:20:52 AM
Why does it always become China vs West? It is actually Authoritarian regime vs Democratic regimes, and west had its fair share of authoritarian regimes till few decades back and they also tried to control thought processes of their citizens. Miracle of China is that an authoritarian regime is surviving - infact doing quite well - in this age and time.
Credit for this goes to West - US in particular - which has kept its commercial interests above any humanitarian values. Google has taken courage to reverse that. May God bless Google.
NL
Posted By: Julius @ 01/16/2010 1:33:24 PM
Reply Report Abuse roland2010 is a typical foreigner who has never set foot in China, yet talks like he knows what Chinese people want.


Reply Report Abuse Posted By: roland2010 @ 01/16/2010 5:54:29 PM
My wife is Chinese, and I have visited China. The truth is many people in China are ignorant about their own country. The government's tight control of information ensures this.

Many Chinese are unaware of the injustices perpetrated against them. Imagine if many Chinese were to learn: that 700,000 of them are dying each year from air pollution; that the melamine milk contaimination was known by the government long before the scandal broke and hundreds of thousands of babies became needlessly ill; that there are secret prisions; etc. Already, there are thousands of protests against the Chinese government each year -- ranging from people in small villages whose land is stripped away to minorties like the Uhigars who are systematically discriminated against. If information flowed freely, there would be tens of thousands of more protests. This is why the Chinese government tightly controls information and seeks to lull its population into false optimism based on ignorance.

However, the Chinese people are not stupid, and some -- especially those who are highly educated -- are becoming disillusioned with their government. During my studies at some of America's top universities, I have met many thoughtful Chinese studying in the USA who are very angry at their government. These people are returning home to China to run your businesses, universities, etc. Sooner or later, your government will be held accountable.


Reply Report Abuse Posted By: bismarck123 @ 01/16/2010 3:28:30 PM
The problem with this article is that first the author wrote for he Marxist Today, the very same ideology that in China tried to destroy the values that he praises now - Confucianism. Its like Bernie goes on vacation. Lets roll up Bernie when we need him.

The problem with the Confucianism argument its like saying the success of the West was based on Christianity. Few people below 60 in China have read the works of Confucius, just as few people below forty in most Western societies have really studied the bible. Confucius is a lingering presence in China, but I would not call China a Confucian nation just as I would not call Sweden a Christian one..

If that was the case, Taiwan would be a model, because its the only Chinese majority state that actually teaches Confucian thought in all schools.

Lastly its really funny that a former Writer of Marxist Today, will be so gung ho on a cultural detriments of economic progress. II guess Marxism has involved over the years.


Reply Report Abuse Posted By: bismarck123 @ 01/16/2010 3:12:54 PM
The problem with this article is that first the author wrote for he Marxist Today, the very same ideology that in China tried to destroy the values that he praises now - Confucianism. Its like Bernie goes on vacation. Lets roll up Bernie when we need him.

The problem with the Confucianism argument its like saying the success of the West was based on Christianity. Few people below 60 in China have read the works of Confucius, just as few people below forty in most Western societies have really studied the bible. Confucius is a lingering presence in China, but I would not call China a Confucian nation just as I would not call Sweden a Christian one..

If that was the case, Taiwan would be a model, because its the only Chinese majority state that actually teaches Confucian thought in all schools.

Lastly its really funny that a former Writer of Marxist Today, will be so gung ho on a cultural detriments of economic progress. II guess Marxism has involved over the years.


Reply Report Abuse Posted By: roland2010 @ 01/16/2010 8:35:57 AM
Additionally, I must address your claims that the Chinese government enjoys a remarkable legitimacy amongst its people. I hope that you understand that this is precisely because the government suppresses information. Most Chinese do not know that 700,000 of them die annually due to air pollution. The report with that statistic is band in China [1]. Most Chinese are unaware that their government knew about the melamine milk contamination before the 2008 Beijing Olympics yet waited several months to act because they did not want the negative press during the Olympics [2]. As a result, hundreds of thousands of babies became ill, and dozens died. Indeed, I was struck by the utter lack of negative news about China when I was in China. This is in a stark contrast to America, where journalists almost take glee in reporting America???s problems [3]. There is a reason why the Chinese government is so paranoid when it comes to the free-flow of information. Already, there are thousands of protests in the country each year. If the Chinese were more informed about their own country's problems, there would be tens of thousands of more protests. Thus, the government tries to cajole its citizens into submission by censoring information, extolling the greatness of China, and fostering rampant nationalism.

[1] http://wind4me.com/2009/11/10/china-14000-cars-per-day-new-and-700000-deaths-by-the-air-they-breathe/http://wind4me.com/2009/11/10/china-14000-cars-per-day-new-and-700000-deaths-by-the-air-they-breathe/[/url]
[2] http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/24/world/asia/24milk.html?_r=1&hphttp://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/24/world/asia/24milk.html?_r=1&hp[/url]
[3] Indeed, one of America's greatest strengths is that some of the most critical people of America are Americans.





Reply Report Abuse Posted By: roland2010 @ 01/16/2010 8:35:25 AM
Being a Canadian citizen who has lived in America for more than 10 years and having just recently married a Chinese citizen and visited China, I think that I can intelligently comment on your article. Many of your assertions about China's economy overtaking America's are based on questionable assumptions.

Firstly, there is your argument that China's economy is destined to be larger than America's because China currently has 4 times the population. This does not take into account that America's population is growing at a faster rate. By 2100, some experts predict that China's population will be about 1.2 billon [1] whereas America's will be 1 billion [2]. Regardless of reliability of these forecasts, it is clear that the gap in the sizes of China's and America's populations will narrow, given China???s continued one child policy and America???s strong population growth rate.

Secondly, you ignore China's pending demographic nightmare. One of the consequences of China's one child policy is that its population is aging far more rapidly than America's. The many only children will one day be forced to support their parents, grandparents, etc. By 2030, it is projected that nearly 340 million Chinese will be over the age of 60 [3]. The swelling ranks of the elderly and concomitant decrease in the size of the workforce could severely hinder the Chinese economy.

Thirdly, China also faces a health crisis. It is bad enough that China's population is rapidly aging, for this alone will lead to a greater incidence of disease. However, the overall health of the populace faces an even greater threat: rampant pollution. In 2007 alone, it is estimated that 700,000 Chinese died from air pollution [4]. Due to high levels of mutagenic compounds in the air, water, and soil, many more Chinese are now being born with deformities [5]. Sadly, the worst is yet to come, for the long-term health effects of many of the pollutants will only manifest themselves decades from now. Cancer rates will soar, hereto rare genetic disorders will become all-too-common, and medical costs will balloon. Moreover, the disappearing social safety net will leave hundreds of millions without health insurance. Many families are going to be driven into massive debt as they scramble to cover their health costs.

[1] http://epub.oeaw.ac.at/0xc1aa500d_0x0017f0d7.pdfhttp://epub.oeaw.ac.at/0xc1aa500d_0x0017f0d7.pdf[/url]
[2] http://www.usatoday.com/news/nation/census/2008-04-28-onebillion_N.htmhttp://www.usatoday.com/news/nation/census/2008-04-28-onebillion_N.htm[/url]
[3] http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2007/08/070828084440.htmhttp://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2007/08/070828084440.htm[/url]
[4] http://wind4me.com/2009/11/10/china-14000-cars-per-day-new-and-700000-deaths-by-the-air-they-breathe/http://wind4me.com/2009/11/10/china-14000-cars-per-day-new-and-700000-deaths-by-the-air-they-breathe/[/url]
[5] http://uk.reuters.com/article/idUKPEK155250._CH_.242020071029http://uk.reuters.com/article/idUKPEK155250._CH_.242020071029[/url]



Reply Report Abuse Posted By: roland2010 @ 01/16/2010 8:35:04 AM
Being a Canadian citizen who has lived in America for more than 10 years and having just recently married a Chinese citizen and visited China, I think that I can intelligently comment on your article. Many of your assertions about China's economy overtaking America's are based on questionable assumptions.

Firstly, there is your argument that China's economy is destined to be larger than America's because China currently has 4 times the population. This does not take into account that America's population is growing at a faster rate. By 2100, some experts predict that China's population will be about 1.2 billon [1] whereas America's will be 1 billion [2]. Regardless of reliability of these forecasts, it is clear that the gap in the sizes of China's and America's populations will narrow, given China???s continued one child policy and America???s strong population growth rate.

Secondly, you ignore China's pending demographic nightmare. One of the consequences of China's one child policy is that its population is aging far more rapidly than America's. The many only children will one day be forced to support their parents, grandparents, etc. By 2030, it is projected that nearly 340 million Chinese will be over the age of 60 [3]. The swelling ranks of the elderly and concomitant decrease in the size of the workforce could severely hinder the Chinese economy.

Thirdly, China also faces a health crisis. It is bad enough that China's population is rapidly aging, for this alone will lead to a greater incidence of disease. However, the overall health of the populace faces an even greater threat: rampant pollution. In 2007 alone, it is estimated that 700,000 Chinese died from air pollution [4]. Due to high levels of mutagenic compounds in the air, water, and soil, many more Chinese are now being born with deformities [5]. Sadly, the worst is yet to come, for the long-term health effects of many of the pollutants will only manifest themselves decades from now. Cancer rates will soar, hereto rare genetic disorders will become all-too-common, and medical costs will balloon. Moreover, the disappearing social safety net will leave hundreds of millions without health insurance. Many families are going to be driven into massive debt as they scramble to cover their health costs.

[1] http://epub.oeaw.ac.at/0xc1aa500d_0x0017f0d7.pdfhttp://epub.oeaw.ac.at/0xc1aa500d_0x0017f0d7.pdf[/url]
[2] http://www.usatoday.com/news/nation/census/2008-04-28-onebillion_N.htmhttp://www.usatoday.com/news/nation/census/2008-04-28-onebillion_N.htm[/url]
[3] http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2007/08/070828084440.htmhttp://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2007/08/070828084440.htm[/url]
[4] http://wind4me.com/2009/11/10/china-14000-cars-per-day-new-and-700000-deaths-by-the-air-they-breathe/http://wind4me.com/2009/11/10/china-14000-cars-per-day-new-and-700000-deaths-by-the-air-they-breathe/[/url]
[5] http://uk.reuters.com/article/idUKPEK155250._CH_.242020071029http://uk.reuters.com/article/idUKPEK155250._CH_.242020071029[/url]



Reply Report Abuse Posted By: [email protected] @ 01/16/2010 8:15:12 AM
THIS IS THE MOST IGNORANT STATEMENT EVER. I DID NOT EVEN READ THIS ARTICLE, BUT THE HEADLINE MAKES THE STATEMENT HOW MIS-GUIDED THIS PERSON IS IN HIS THINKING.
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