CNN.COM头版: 奧巴馬可以有5 种方法在亚洲进行反击
本帖最后由 rocky28 于 2014-11-10 12:16 编辑奧巴馬可以有5 种方法在亚洲进行反攻
丹.布鲁门萨尔( 亚洲研究部主任和美国企业研究所终身研究员) 2014 年 11 月 9 日
提要:[*]中国媒体公开嘲笑美国民主党在中期选举的失利[*]中国领导人想转移外界对国内问题的注意力[*]奧巴馬应加强与日本的关系
在美国总统奧巴馬将要前往亚洲参加三个重要多边会议之前,中国的宣传机器明显在蓄意矮化他。它们公开嘲弄民主党在中期选举的失利, 这可能是打算使奧巴馬在周一抵达北京之前就处于下风。毫无疑问,中国想转移自己在国外和国内的话题。(评,弱爆的挑拨讲法)
中国国家主席习近平正在进行他的反腐运动，很多人认为他这是为了巩固和进一步集中自己的权力,他不想让美国总统找麻烦。习近平还要面对一个躁动不安的帝国，这包括香港的民主运动和新疆的动乱，新疆已有针对平民和准军事人员进行的恐怖袭击。(评,幸灾乐祸,里面都有美国的黑手)在国内问题上，习近平的做法于事无补, 他钳制香港人权又压制温和占主体的新疆人。中国的政策还引发了区域不安，随着习近平继续推行中国在南海和东海的领土要求、日本、菲律宾和越南都进行了强烈的反制。不止于此，由于全球需求疲软和中国日益增长的债务,中国长期赖以成功的快速投资和出口带动式增长已走到尽头，很明显奧巴馬是在一个政治紧张的时间到达北京。(继续挑拨)
奧巴馬当然也在面对自己的国内政治问题，他的政党在周二的中期选举中遇挫.共和党控制的新参议院会迫不及待与总统一道对中国强硬,以维护美国的实力和在亚洲的影响力。(维护影响力是假,实行阴谋是真) 基于上面所说，当他会见该地区的各国领导人时, 奧巴馬应作什么努力？这里有对总统的五点愿望以使美国的亚洲-太平洋政策走上轨道的：1.加快完成跨太平洋伙伴关系(TPP)：这项涉及包括美国在内的12 个国家自由贸易协定，既有利于美国经济，又有利于美国的外交政策。它的顺利敲定并在国会快速通过将表明只有美国可以领导亚洲太平洋地区的贸易自由化。2.南海反击：奧巴馬应该让国防部宣布将与东南亚的友好国家和盟友一道实施新的措施，以应对中国在南海的强行举措。这一提议应包括由美国牵头开发一个海上识别系统联盟，与所有的朋友和盟友分享实时情报和信息以应对中国的侵略活动。这应该是构建亚洲盟国防务组织的基石。3.重振美日联盟：政府当局应与日本合作制定在东海之滨制止中国威胁的综合计划。日本首相安倍晋三已起草了一份充分集成海空军力的主动防御战略。还有很多事日本和美国可以做,以加强展示军力并进行军事演习，用行动警告中国不能在这些海域继续侵犯日本的商业和国防资产。4.揭中国的短：奧巴馬应看到中国的弱点，批评她的领导层。他早就应该大谈习近平对中国的经济进行改革的失败，引起外间关注他在整个中国进行的人权镇压。现在也是支持越来越多的中国人争取基本人权的时间。5.美国能源优势杠杆：奧巴馬应该利用美国能源革命的红利提振与主要天然气消费国,如台湾，韩国和日本,的联盟和友谊。奧巴馬是次亚洲之行应该公开承诺为向盟国出口天然气的公司提供快速审批以展示美国的领袖风范。现实是中国视奧巴馬为一个软弱的领导人，更为甚之，视美国为一个没落的国家。但事实上，美国远强于很多人的想象。她在该区域有亲密的朋友和盟友、她是能源输出者、 她有世界最强大和考验过的军事力量，和她有一套普世公认原则和理想。这些东西中国一点都没有。
本周的亚洲行就是奧巴馬着手扭转美国衰弱中国崛起危险看法的最好时机。(终评,对中国充满敌意,警惕新法西斯主义在美国的壮大) China's propaganda system appears to be working hard to belittle U.S. President Barack Obama before he heads to Asia for three key multilateral meetings. The open mockery of the Democratic Party's loss in the midterm elections is likely an attempt to put the President on the defensive before he lands in Beijing on Monday. But it's really little wonder that China is trying to change the subject from its own problems, both foreign and domestic.
For a start, Chinese President Xi Jinping will want no trouble from a U.S. president as he executes his anti-corruption campaign, the primary purpose of which many believe is to consolidate and further centralize his power. Meanwhile, Xi is also dealing with a restive empire, including a democracy movement in Hong Kong and unrest in Xinjiang, which has seen terror attacks against Chinese civilians and paramilitary officers.
Domestically, Xi is not helping matters by clamping down on Hong Kong residents' rights or repressing the mostly peaceful population of Xinjiang. But China's policies are also sparking problems regionally, as Xi continues to press China's claims in the South and East China Seas, something Japan, the Philippines and Vietnam are all strongly resisting. Add in the fact that China's long and successful run of rapid investment and export-led growth is coming to an end with slack global demand and growing Chinese debt, and it's clear that Obama is arriving at a politically tense time in Beijing.
Obama, of course, faces his own domestic political issues after the thumping his party received in Tuesday's midterms, and the incoming Republican Senate majority will be eager to work with the President to get tougher on China and assert U.S. power and influence in Asia.
With all this in mind, what should Obama be pushing for as he meets leaders from the region? Here's a five-point wish list for the President that will help get U.S. policy in the Asia-Pacific region on track:
Bring the Trans-Pacific Partnership to a quick conclusion: The TPP -- a free-trade agreement that would involve 12 countries, including the United States -- is not only good for the American economy, but is also good for U.S. foreign policy. A successful negotiation of the agreement and quick ratification in Congress would demonstrate that only the U.S. can lead on trade liberalization in the Asia-Pacific region.
Push back over South China Sea: Obama should have the Department of Defense announce, in conjunction with Southeast Asian friends and allies, that it is implementing new moves to counter Chinese coercive moves in the South China Sea. This initiative should include a major effort by the United States to develop a coalition maritime domain awareness system that would allow all friends and allies to have the same real-time intelligence and information about Chinese aggressive activities. This should be the building block for an allied defense organization in Asia.
Reinvigorate Japan ties: The administration should work with Japan on a comprehensive plan to stop Chinese coercion in the East China Sea. Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has outlined a forward-leaning defense strategy with plenty of room for integration of air and naval forces. There is much Japan and the United States can do to ramp up shows of force and exercises to demonstrate that China will not gain anything through its continued harassment of Japanese commercial and defense assets in these seas.
Be honest about China's shortcomings: Obama should follow China's cue and criticize the Chinese leadership. It is past time to speak forcefully about Xi's failure to reform the Chinese economy and to bring up his human rights crackdown throughout China. It is also time to side with the growing number of Chinese who are fighting for basic human rights.
Leverage America's energy advantage: Obama should take advantage of the U.S. energy revolution to shore up alliances and friendships with major gas consumers, such as Taiwan, South Korea, and Japan. A public commitment by Obama while in Asia to fast-track licenses for companies seeking to export gas to friends and allies would be a serious demonstration of leadership.
The reality is that China is trying to define Obama as a weak leader, and by extension, the United States as a weakening country. But structurally, the U.S. is far stronger than many assume. It has close friends and allies in the region, it is becoming a net energy producer, it has the world's most powerful and tested military, and it has a set of principles and ideals that speak to universal hopes. China has none of these things.
During his time in Asia, Obama can begin to reverse the dangerous perception of a U.S. that is weakening while China rises. This week offers as good a time as any to start pushing back. 本帖最后由 rocky28 于 2014-11-10 14:15 编辑
中国应该理顺自己内部各方面的矛盾,团结一致. 不骄不躁, 稳步发展军事实力. 本帖最后由 rocky28 于 2014-11-10 12:26 编辑
美国欠了很多债,却和别的国家不一样(不动产价格膨胀),她的债务都去了军事上.
结果是美国有了一系列危险的军事利器, 激光,机器人,..甚至有暗中操纵干扰人脑的秘密武器,-次声波武器.
中国开发带电磁冲击,能掩护后续的"开路核弹"可在一定程度上平衡美国的优势. 树立维护世界和平的形象. 最要紧有自信，克服“民主畏惧症”。 除了“2.南海反击”，其他都是笑料。
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